Keep in mind... populations are declining notably on Phoenix. So by the end of the year, it is hard to say how active the server will actually be. Fatalists are already proclaiming the server to be racing Uthgard to the bottom of the population metrics... but I disagree with that extreme viewpoint.
Some of the decline is to be expected as there are a lot of veteran DAoC players in the wild who can and did come in to try it out. Some left, because once they hit 50, they remembered the less positive aspect of DAoC. A notable number though appear to have either left, or simply taking a long break, due to changes made to the server over the last 6 weeks or so. Different people react differently to change, and some changes affected some classes more then others. Honestly, I think the notable recent farming nerfs and pet class changes have had the largest effect on population trending downward... because you need plats in quantity as part of your level capped templating for a character(s). AND.. with the owners continuing to make changes in the classes and other adjustments... people are having to re-template.. so total economic depth required for a player is increasing, not decreasing, currently.
In the first couple of months we generally saw close to 3000 online at peak times, and evenly dispersed across the three realms. If you check today, you will a server run rate closer to 1000, though still roughly balanced between the three realms. It would not surprise me to see the server running around 300 (still evenly split across the realms +/-) by later this year... UNLESS the server owners take steps and changes to bring the servers veterans back in notable numbers.
Basically.. the honeymoon is over.